Apr 2 US Confirmed Coronavirus Cases
I took the day off yesterday, in part because I didn't really feel the data told any new stories. Today I can report both good news and bad. The good is that overall, social distancing seems to be working. April 2 saw our lowest rate of growth in new cases, 13.5%, after Wednesday's 13.9%. This means we have been on a general trend of downward rates of new case growth for about two weeks. We have had only two days since Mar 19 where the percentage of new cases (compared to the previous total of cases) has gone up.
Here's the chart:
If you compare this with previous charts, you will see that the previous charts had a pretty steady 4-fold increase over the seven-day period of each chart. But now, you can see that slowing down. The curve is flattening.
Let's take a look at the states:
Notes (here's where the bad news lies): Louisiana, already doing so poorly, had a disastrous day, with new cases 42% of Wednesday's previous totals. The entire state is approaching the 200 cases per 100,000 mark.
Now let's look at the counties:
Notes:
Another part of the reason I did not post yesterday was that I've been trying to get Google Docs to work right. I wanted to create a chart where you could compare several states and how their cases have grown over time, but for some inexplicable reason Google Sheets will only let me lookup three days worth of data and then fails after that. I've sought help, to no avail yet.
In the meantime, take a look at what the NY Times has done:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/03/upshot/coronavirus-metro-area-tracker.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage
It's pretty much the same idea.
Here's the chart:
If you compare this with previous charts, you will see that the previous charts had a pretty steady 4-fold increase over the seven-day period of each chart. But now, you can see that slowing down. The curve is flattening.
Let's take a look at the states:
Notes (here's where the bad news lies): Louisiana, already doing so poorly, had a disastrous day, with new cases 42% of Wednesday's previous totals. The entire state is approaching the 200 cases per 100,000 mark.
Now let's look at the counties:
Notes:
- Rockland County, NY (across the Hudson from Westchester County) joins Westchester in having a greater than 1% (known) infection rate.
- Orleans Parish did slightly better than Louisiana as a whole, but their 38.7% growth rate in infections was still horrifying.
- Three New Jersey counties have joined the list of counties whose infection rate is over 300 per 100,000.
My list of the most troubled communities in America. As I did with the New York area, I'm going to start breaking out the ski communities as there is a wide variety there:
- New York-White Plains-Jersey City.
- New Orleans.
- Long Island.
- Vail, CO.
- Albany, GA.
- Poughkeepsie, NY.
- Crested Butte, CO.
- Park City, UT.
- Newark, NJ.
- New Brunswick, NJ.
- Boston.
- Bridgeport, CT.
- Aspen, CO.
- Detroit.
- Seattle.
- Shreveport, LA.
- Indianapolis.
- Bartow County, GA.
- Philadelphia.
- Chicago.
We haven't seen how the other countries are doing lately, so here's a look:
Another part of the reason I did not post yesterday was that I've been trying to get Google Docs to work right. I wanted to create a chart where you could compare several states and how their cases have grown over time, but for some inexplicable reason Google Sheets will only let me lookup three days worth of data and then fails after that. I've sought help, to no avail yet.
In the meantime, take a look at what the NY Times has done:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/03/upshot/coronavirus-metro-area-tracker.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage
It's pretty much the same idea.
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